Rates continue to dip despite US–China tariff easing

Rates continue to dip despite US–China tariff easing

Global airfreight rates declined slightly again last week, according to the latest data from TAC Index. The global Baltic Air Freight Index (BAI00), calculated by TAC, dipped by 1.0 percent in the week to 19 May, leaving it 5.1 percent lower year on year.

The figures suggest there has been no immediate rebound in rates following the agreement between the United States and China to reduce their ultra-high mutual tariff levels—at least for the next 90 days.

Out of China, rates rose slightly overall to Europe but declined on routes to the US, with the end of the de minimis exemption for small packages starting to impact volumes as expected, despite the recent trade deal. The index of outbound routes from Hong Kong (BAI30) edged up by 0.1 percent week on week, though it remains down 3.3 percent year on year. This slight rise was partly driven by a recent jump in spot rates to Europe.

In contrast, outbound Shanghai (BAI80) dropped by 3.5 percent week on week, pushing it 14.2 percent lower year on year. Rates to Europe also increased week on week from Bangkok and Seoul, while Vietnam saw rates decline to Europe but rise to the US. Out of India, rates were slightly lower in both directions.

In Europe, there was a decline in rates on transatlantic lanes to the US as well as to China, but a rise in rates to Japan. The index of outbound routes from Frankfurt (BAI20) edged up by 0.7 percent week on week, leaving it 2.6 percent higher year on year. By contrast, outbound London Heathrow (BAI40) slipped by 0.7 percent week on week, falling to 6.7 percent below the level seen this time last year.

From North America, rates declined on lanes to both Europe and China, but rose again to South America. The index of outbound routes from Chicago (BAI50) gained 1.8 percent week on week, pushing it up by 23.2 percent year on year.

Picture of Edward Hardy

Edward Hardy

Having become a journalist after university, Edward Hardy has been a reporter and editor at some of the world's leading publications and news sites. In 2022, he became Air Cargo Week's Editor. Got news to share? Contact me on Edward.Hardy@AirCargoWeek.com

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